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RecapFriday, June 26

Germany Through Despite Shock Loss; Netherlands and Japan Advance as Drama Unfolds

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Ecuador stunned Germany 2-1 in a result that didn't matter, Côte d'Ivoire and the Dutch cruised as expected, Japan and Sweden played out the draw everyone predicted, while Türkiye's wild 3-2 comeback over the United States and a goalless stalemate between Paraguay and Australia scrambled Group D into chaos.

The pool nailed the obvious ones—67 of you correctly picked Côte d'Ivoire, 70 backed the Netherlands, and 38 called the Japan-Sweden draw to the letter—but only 4 brave souls believed Ecuador could topple Germany (the bookies' heavy favourites), and just 17 saw Türkiye's comeback coming when 37 of you expected a draw.

Ecuador's Parting Gift Stuns Die Mannschaft

Germany arrived as overwhelming favourites but departed Group E with a 2-1 defeat that will sting despite their passage to the knockout rounds. Ecuador, needing a win and other results to fall their way, played with the freedom of a side with nothing to lose and everything to prove. The South Americans struck twice to hand Germany their first loss of the tournament, a result that flipped the script on 56 pool members who backed the Germans and rewarded the four contrarians who saw the upset coming. Die Mannschaft still top Group E on goal difference over Côte d'Ivoire—both sides finish on six points—but this stumble raises questions about their form heading into the round of 16, while Ecuador bow out with heads high and four points that, in a kinder draw, might have been enough.

Côte d'Ivoire and Netherlands Do the Expected

The Elephants wrapped up their group stage with a tidy 2-0 victory over Curaçao, a result so inevitable that 67 of 74 pool members called it (20 nailed the exact scoreline). The Caribbean minnows finish winless and outscored 10-2 across three matches, their World Cup adventure ending as it began—overmatched but unbowed. Meanwhile in Group F, the Netherlands dispatched Tunisia 3-1 to claim top spot with seven points, a performance that 70 of you predicted and 13 called exactly at 1-3. The Dutch, who never looked troubled, march into the knockouts with momentum and a plus-six goal difference, while Tunisia exit without a point, their sole consolation goal a brief flicker in an otherwise dim campaign.

Japan and Sweden Split the Points in Group F Finale

The most predictable result of the day unfolded exactly as 38 pool members forecast: Japan 1, Sweden 1, a draw that suited both sides and sent the Samurai Blue through in second place on five points. Sweden, who finish third with four points, needed a win and favourable results elsewhere to advance—neither materialised. The match itself was a cagey affair, both teams content to trade a goal apiece and preserve energy for what comes next (or in Sweden's case, what might have been). Japan's reward is a last-16 berth and the continuation of their quietly impressive tournament; Sweden head home wondering what might have been had they found another gear.

Group D Descends Into Bedlam

The night's wildest hour belonged to Group D, where Türkiye stormed back from behind to beat the United States 3-2 in a five-goal thriller that defied the 37 pool members who expected a draw and stunned the 20 who backed the hosts. The Americans led twice but couldn't hold on, their defence cracking as the Turks poured forward in waves—a gutsy, chaotic performance that keeps Türkiye's knockout hopes alive (just barely, in fourth on three points) while the U.S. still top the group on six points despite the loss. Across the pitch, Paraguay and Australia ground out a scoreless draw that only 24 of you anticipated, a result that leaves both sides on four points and scrambling for qualification. Australia sit second on goal difference, Paraguay third, and the final matchday in Group D promises to be absolute bedlam—three teams separated by a single point, every scenario still in play, and a pool that got this one half-right at best.

Sources (48)